Climate information services in the CRAFT project

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Climate modeling for East Africa

For this work on climate change projections, dynamically downscaled daily rainfall, maximum, minimum and mean temperature from the Rossby Center (SMHI) regional climate model (RCA4) are used. The regional model (RCA4; Dieterich et al., 2013) was used to downscale four Global Circulation Models (EC-EARTH, MPI-ESM-LR) from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). The regional model was run at a grid resolution of 0.44 x 0.44 over the African domain and all other details about the simulation can be found in Dieterich et al. (2013). The global models (GCMs) projections were forced by the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which are prescribed greenhouse-gas concentration pathways (emissions trajectory) and subsequent radiative forcing by 2100. In this study, we used RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, which are representatives of mid-and high-level of emission scenarios respectively.

Climate risk profiles for different value chains in East Africa

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atomictamirat@gmail.com
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